000 WTPZ34 KNHC 050232 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 800 PM PDT SAT OCT 04 2014 ...AND YET ANOTHER CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC... ...THE 6TH OF THE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.4N 115.9W ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM S OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.9 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 130 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SIMON IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SIMON PROBABLY HAS REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY AND A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD SOON BEGIN AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 946 MB...27.94 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF SONORA IN NORTHWEST MEXICO. STARTING ON TUESDAY...RAINFALL FROM SIMON IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE- THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA