000 WTPZ34 KNHC 032059 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 200 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2014 ...NORBERT TURNS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 109.2W ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ MEXICO TO SAN EVARISTO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SANTA FE NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO * NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST. NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. NORBERT SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE ON THAT GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE PENINSULA ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY. SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY...AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. LARGE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE