000 WTPZ34 KNHC 240231 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IVO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 800 PM PDT FRI AUG 23 2013 ...LARGE IVO MOVING NORTHWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 112.0W ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS * THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST. IVO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H....AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IVO WILL MOVE ON A TRACK PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS...BUT WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AFTER THAT TIME. IVO IS A LARGE CYCLONE...AND THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. RAINFALL...IVO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IVO ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA