000 WTPZ34 KNHC 232036 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IVO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092013 200 PM PDT FRI AUG 23 2013 ...CENTER OF IVO REFORMS TO THE NORTHEAST... ...WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 111.8W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS...AND FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS * THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. IVO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH WEAKENING EXPECTED ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. RAINFALL...IVO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES...ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY IVO ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER TODAY...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN