000 WTPZ34 KNHC 281433 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092011 800 AM PDT WED SEP 28 2011 ...HILARY CONTINUES WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 118.4W ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.4 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY LATER TODAY...AND A NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HILARY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HILARY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY...AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN