000
WTPZ34 KNHC 270834
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011
 
...HILARY GRADUALLY WEAKENING...EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN SOON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 115.7W
ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.7 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH BY LATE WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE.  A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE
SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN