000
WTPZ34 KNHC 252036
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 25 2011
 
...HILARY REMAINS JUST BELOW CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 110.3W
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST. HILARY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION 
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THE OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR
HILARY TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART