000
WTPZ34 KNHC 251437
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 25 2011
 
...HILARY REMAINS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE AS IT CONTINUES SLOWLY
WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 109.2W
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THE OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR
HILARY TO SLOWLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH