000
WTPZ34 KNHC 232042
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILARY ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
200 PM PDT FRI SEP 23 2011
 
...VERY INTENSE HURRICANE HILARY MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 103.1W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.1 WEST. HILARY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE
OF HILARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER OFFSHORE OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HILARY IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR
HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HILARY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN IN
SOUTHERN.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY HILARY ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART