000
WTPZ34 KNHC 132034
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192009
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009

...PATRICIA WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENAVISTA TO AGUA BLANCA...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ
AND ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST OR ABOUT
85 MILES...135 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
 
PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF PATRICIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...22.1N 108.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN