000
WTPZ34 KNHC 131737
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192009
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009
 
...PATRICIA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENAVISTA TO AGUA BLANCA...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ
AND ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST OR
ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
 
PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST BY THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF PATRICIA SHOULD MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH PATRICIA HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...21.8N 108.9W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB
 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN