000 WTPZ34 KNHC 131151 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192009 500 AM PDT TUE OCT 13 2009 ...PATRICIA MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENAVISTA TO AGUA BLANCA... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ AND ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PATRICIA SHOULD MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATE TODAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES... 185 KM MAINLY SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ...SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...21.0N 109.2W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN