000
WTPZ34 KNHC 122057
TCPEP4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192009
200 PM PDT MON OCT 12 2009
 
...PATRICIA CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ TO SANTA FE. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST OR ABOUT 215
MILES...345 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
PATRICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
PATRICIA SHOULD MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...19.8N 110.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN