000
WTPZ33 KNHC 230837
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Vicente Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
400 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018

...VICENTE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF
MICHOACAN LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 102.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Vicente
was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 102.0 West.  Vicente
is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue today.  On the forecast
track, the center of Vicente is expected to move inland over the
Mexican state of Michoacan later today.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Vicente
is expected to dissipate later today or tonight after it has moved
inland over Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through today over
portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg