000
WTPZ33 KNHC 222032
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
400 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...VICENTE BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...
...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SOON...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 101.5W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 101.5 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn
to the northwest is expected later today followed by a turn to the
north-northwest on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Vicente is expected to be near the southwestern coast of Mexico
on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Continued weakening is expected, and Vicente is
forecast to dissipate within the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Wednesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch