000
WTPZ33 KNHC 221444
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 AM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...VICENTE LOOKING LESS ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...
...STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 100.8W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 100.8 West.  Vicente is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a turn
to the northwest is expected today followed by a turn to the
north-northwest on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Vicente is expected to approach the southwestern coast of Mexico
on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Vicente is expected to become a tropical
depression by tonight or Tuesday.  The cyclone's circulation is
expected to dissipate near the southwestern coast of Mexico by
Wednesday.

Vicente is a small tropical cyclone.  Tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Wednesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoaca, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Latto