000
WTPZ33 KNHC 220835
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
400 AM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...VICENTE A LITTLE STRONGER...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 99.7W
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 99.7 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A west-northwestward
turn is expected later this morning, followed by a turn toward the
northwest by late tonight.  A northwestward to north-northwestward
motion is forecast on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Vicente is expected to approach the southwestern coast of Mexico
on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Little change in strength is expected today.
Afterward, weakening is forecast, and Vicente is expected to become
a tropical depression by tonight or Tuesday.  The cyclone's
circulation is expected to dissipate near the southwestern coast of
Mexico by Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Wednesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoaca, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts