000
WTPZ33 KNHC 211442
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 21 2018

...VICENTE CONTINUES MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WELL OFFSHORE
THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 96.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SSW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSE OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 96.8 West.  Vicente is
moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue today.  A turn toward
the west is expected by this evening, followed by a gradual turn
toward the northwest by Monday evening.  On the forecast
track, the center of Vicente is expected to remain just offshore or
near the southern coast of Mexico through Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Vicente is a small tropical cyclone with tropical-storm-force winds
only extending outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Vicente or its remnants is expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches near the coast of
southern Mexico.  This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash
flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch