000
WTPZ33 KNHC 210230
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 PM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018

...TINY VICENTE PASSING SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 95.0W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM W OF TAPACHULA MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southeastern and southern coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 95.0 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the
west-southwest is possible on Sunday, followed by a gradual turn
toward the northwest by Monday.  On the forecast track, the center
of Vicente is expected to move generally along or near the southern
and southwestern coast of Mexico for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some fluctuations in intensity are possible through the weekend,
followed by gradual weakening by early next week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Between Monday and Wednesday, Vicente or its remnants
is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to
10 inches along the coast of southwestern Mexico. This rainfall
could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within
mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky