000
WTPZ33 KNHC 201444
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018

...SMALL-SIZED VICENTE FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 93.6W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM WSW OF TAPACHULA MEXICO
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southeastern and southern coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 93.6 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general track
with a slight increase in forward speed is forecast during the next
36 to 48 hours. After that time, a turn to the northwest is
anticipated.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible during the next 48
hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Through Thursday morning, Vicente is expected to produce
3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches across
southwest Guatemala and the Pacific coast of southern Mexico. This
rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila