000
WTPZ33 KNHC 200836
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
400 AM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018

...TINY VICENTE MEANDERING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 93.1W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SW OF TAPACHULA MEXICO
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southeastern and southern coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 14.0 North, longitude 93.1 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue this morning. An increase in forward
speed and a turn toward the west is expected by this afternoon,
followed by a turn toward the southwest later tonight.  On the
forecast track, the center of Vicente will gradually move farther
away from the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is possible during the next few days.

Vicente is a small tropical cyclone and tropical-storm-force winds
only extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Through Wednesday morning, Vicente is expected to
produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches
across portions of the Pacific coast of southeastern and southern
Mexico. This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding
and landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart