000
WTPZ33 KNHC 102339
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
700 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

...BUD CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 104.7W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Bud was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 104.7 West. Bud is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with a
gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Wednesday.
On the forecast track, the core of Bud and its stronger winds
are expected to remain offshore of the southwestern coast of
mainland Mexico during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Bud is forecast to strengthen rapidly during the
next 24 hours or so, but weakening is expected to begin by late
Tuesday or early Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 145
miles (230 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of
3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches through
Tuesday afternoon over portions of southwestern Mexico. These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides in areas of
high terrain.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning Monday afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi