000
WTPZ33 KNHC 101431
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bud Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

...BUD FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES OFF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 103.5W
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.  However, all
interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico from Manzanillo
northward to Cabo Corrientes should closely monitor the progress of
Bud.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bud was
located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 103.5 West. Bud is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion with some slowing of forward speed is expected
through Tuesday.  This track will keep the core of Bud well off the
southwestern coast of mainland Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Bud has the chance to strengthen rapidly
during the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will begin to affect portions
of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next 2 to 3 days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila