000 WTPZ33 KNHC 242031 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132014 200 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2014 ...MARIE NOW A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...SWELLS FROM MARIE EXPECTED TO CAUSE DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 112.2W ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SSW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...918 MB...27.11 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST. MARIE HAS BEEN WOBBLING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT THE LONGER TERM MOTION IS TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. MARIE IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIE IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BUT MARIE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH TUESDAY. MARIE IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...500 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 918 MB...27.11 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS WILL SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND WILL THEN REACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY LATE TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG