000 WTPZ33 KNHC 030544 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182013 1100 PM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013 ...DEPRESSION NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH AS IT PASSES WELL TO THE EAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.5N 110.0W ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 465 MI...745 KM SSW OF CULIACAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TOPOLOBAMPO TO LA CRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND ELSEWHERE IN WEST-CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND SUNDAY MORNING...PASS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATE SUNDAY...AND APPROACH THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA BY EARLY MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 AM PST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART