000
WTPZ33 KNHC 021451
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182013
800 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013
 
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 109.1W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND WEST-CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY AN
ACCELERATION AND TURN TO THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WOULD PASS
NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY SUNDAY
NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT
OF STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ALTHOUGH THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE