000
WTPZ33 KNHC 020834
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182013
200 AM PDT SAT NOV 02 2013
 
...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION EDGING NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 108.7W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND WEST-CENTRAL MAINLAND MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/H.  A GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY AN ACCELERATION AND TURN TO THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST ON
SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WOULD
PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT
OF STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ALTHOUGH THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN