000
WTPZ33 KNHC 192331
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
500 PM PDT THU SEP 19 2013
 
...MANUEL EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF
WESTERN MEXICO... 

 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.0N 106.8W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM E OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MANUEL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST. 
MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MANUEL IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF
RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  MANUEL IS ALSO
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE
STATES OF DURANGO AND CHIHUAHUA.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA