000
WTPZ33 KNHC 192034
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
200 PM PDT THU SEP 19 2013
 
...MANUEL WEAKENING OVER MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INLAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 107.1W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WARNING OR WACHES IN EFFECT.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST.  MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
TONIGHT AND MANUEL IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO BY FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  MANUEL IS ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE STATES OF DURANGO AND
CHIHUAHUA.
 
WIND..TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING
INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF MANUEL DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN