000
WTPZ33 KNHC 191734
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
1100 AM PDT THU SEP 19 2013
 
...MANUEL BRINGING HEAVY RAINS INLAND OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 107.7W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNE OF ALTATA MEXICO
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ESE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST.
MANUEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND MANUEL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TONIGHT.  THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN OF MEXICO ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95
KM...FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  

WIND..TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

STORM SURGE...ELEVATED WATER LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR 
THE COAST WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN