000
WTPZ33 KNHC 160834
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
200 AM PDT MON SEP 16 2013
 
...MANUEL DISSIPATES OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS TO CONTINUE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 105.3W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT MANUEL HAS
DISSIPATED OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO.  AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...
THE REMNANTS OF MANUEL WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST.  THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF MANUEL ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15
INCHES OF RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND
MICHOACAN...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF
COLIMA...JALISCO...AND NAYARIT.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT
IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE DURING THE DAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.  FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF MANUEL PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG