000
WTPZ33 KNHC 132042
TCPEP3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
200 PM PDT FRI SEP 13 2013
 
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 102.1W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
WEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTA SAN TELMO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MANUEL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THE
CYCLONE SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON
SATURDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...MANUEL SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE
SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF
RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS
ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA BY MID-DAY SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE