000 WTPZ33 KNHC 250236 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COSME ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013 800 PM PDT MON JUN 24 2013 ...COSME LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 107.9W ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST. COSME IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND COSME IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY COSME WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR MANZANILLO THROUGH CABO CORRIENTES TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/PASCH