000
WTPZ33 KNHC 032030
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
200 PM PDT SAT OCT 03 2009
 
...OLAF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF
SONORA AND SINALOA...

AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.3 WEST OR ABOUT
95 MILES...150 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
OLAF OR ITS REMNANTS WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA BY
EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OLAF IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS
OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SONORA...SINALOA...AND
SOUTHWESTERN CHIHUAHUA IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...23.8N 113.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST OR 95 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG