000
WTPZ33 KNHC 031431
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
800 AM PDT SAT OCT 03 2009
 
...OLAF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA
PENINSULA...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.2 WEST OR ABOUT
185 MILES...300 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...
13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF OR ITS REMNANTS
WILL BE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA BY EARLY SUNDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
OLAF IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY MORNING. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS
OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA AND
PORTIONS OF SONORA AND SOUTHWESTERN CHIHUAHUA IN NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO.
 
...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...24.2N 115.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN