000
WTPZ33 KNHC 030228
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
800 PM PDT FRI OCT 02 2009

...OLAF FORECAST TO WEAKEN BEFORE REACHING THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA BUT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS... 
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.5 WEST OR ABOUT 265
MILES...425 KM...WEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS
TRACK OLAF OR ITS REMNANTS SHOULD BE CROSSING THE CENTRAL PORTION
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND OLAF SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OR A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA. 
 
...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...24.5N 116.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA