000
WTPZ33 KNHC 022031
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 02 2009
 
...OLAF WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL IN THE
CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA...

AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.2 WEST OR ABOUT 465
MILES...750 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND THEN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...OLAF OR ITS REMNANTS WILL BE
NEAR THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY SATURDAY NIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND OLAF IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON
SATURDAY. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS
OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA. 
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...23.8N 117.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN