000 WTPZ33 KNHC 012041 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182009 200 PM PDT THU OCT 01 2009 ...FIFTEENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS... AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST OR ABOUT 565 MILES...905 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT... FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...19.4N 117.8W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN