000 WTPZ33 KNHC 020950 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 19...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009 200 AM PDT WED SEP 02 2009 CORRECTED AMOUNT IN RAINFALL SECTION ...JIMENA NEAR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA ON THE WEST COAST...AND SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LA PAZ NORTHWARD TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...110 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS COURSE...THE CORE OF JIMENA WILL BE NEAR OR JUST OFFSHORE THE WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY...AND NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT JIMENA IS STILL FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...23.9N 111.9W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH