000 WTPZ33 KNHC 020551 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009 1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 01 2009 ...JIMENA WEAKENS TO CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...SQUALLS AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON WEDNESDAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...155 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF JIMENA WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY...AND BE NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JIMENA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL...WITH A MORE RAPID WEAKENING THEREAFTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...23.4N 111.7W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH