000
WTPZ33 KNHC 010842
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132009
200 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2009

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE JIMENA HEADING TOWARD THE BAJA
PENINSULA...
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED
THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND ON THE EAST COAST TO
LORETO.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST
COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN 24 HOURS.  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY AND PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA
EUGENIA...AND NORTH OF LORETO ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN
JUAN BAUTISTA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  THIS WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED
NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
  
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST OR ABOUT 185
MILES...300 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 345 MILES
...560 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...JIMENA WILL BE
APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JIMENA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...AND VERY NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY FIVE STATUS.  SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY TODAY...AND GRADUAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY.  HOWEVER...JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES.
 
JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.
 
A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES WILL PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...20.2N 110.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN