000 WTPZ33 KNHC 010305 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009 800 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2009 CORRECTED TO INCLUDE LOCATION SECTION ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE JIMENA MOVING NORTHWEST...NEW WATCHES ISSUED FOR BAJA PENINSULA AND MAINLAND MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA AND ON THE EAST COAST FROM MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA EUGENIA...AND NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES...390 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 410 MILES ...660 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... JIMENA WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JIMENA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...AND VERY NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY FIVE STATUS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. AN AUTOMATED STATION ON SOCORRO ISLAND...LOCATED ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM..WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JIMENA...HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 2 DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...19.4N 109.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN