000 WTPZ33 KNHC 110543 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132008 1100 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2008 ...LOWELL NEARING THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS. THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY THURSDAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...110 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LOWELL WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT. LOWELL IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE INTO MAINLAND MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS LOWELL INTERACTS WITH BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. LOWELL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA IN MAINLAND MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...110.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN