000 WTPZ33 KNHC 102336 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132008 500 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2008 ...LOWELL APPROACHING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOWELL. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LOWELL IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY...THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THURSDAY...AND MOVE INTO MAINLAND MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LOWELL REACHING THE BAJA PENINSULA. WEAKENING IS FORECAST ONCE LOWELL MOVES ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. LOWELL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA IN MAINLAND MEXICO. REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...22.9 N...111.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB