000
WTPZ33 KNHC 102032
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
200 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2008

...RAINBANDS OF LOWELL MOVING OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
SAN LUCAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LOWELL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST OR ABOUT 130
MILES...205 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF LOWELL IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY...THEN 
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA THURSDAY...AND MOVE INTO MAINLAND MEXICO
THURSDAY NIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LOWELL
REACHING THE BAJA PENINSULA.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST ONCE LOWELL
MOVES ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
LOWELL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH
THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
THE STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA IN MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...22.8 N...111.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME