000
WTPZ33 KNHC 101445
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
800 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
SAN LUCAS.  THIS WATCH COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. 
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LOWELL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST OR ABOUT 145
MILES...235 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO
MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF LOWELL IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY...THEN
MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THURSDAY
NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND LOWELL COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
LOWELL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH
THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.  MOISTURE FROM LOWELL
COULD SPREAD INTO THE ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE STATES OF SINALOA AND
SONORA IN MAINLAND MEXICO AND PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...22.3 N...112.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME