000
WTPZ33 KNHC 101148
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
500 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
SAN LUCAS.  THIS WATCH COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LOWELL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT 160
MILES...260 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO
MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
LOWELL IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY...THEN MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LOWELL REACHES BAJA
CALIFORNIA.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS LOWELL MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PENINSULA.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
LOWELL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL THROUGH
THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.  MOISTURE FROM LOWELL
COULD SPREAD INTO THE ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE STATES OF SINALOA AND
SONORA IN MAINLAND MEXICO AND PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...22.0 N...112.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME