000
WTPZ32 KNHC 170232
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Tara Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222018
1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

...TARA DISSIPATES NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 105.5W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Tara were located near
latitude 20.0 North, longitude 105.5 West. The remnants are moving
toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general motion is
expected to continue overnight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The remnants of Tara are expected to produce additional
rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over the Mexican states of Colima and
western Jalisco, through tonight, with isolated maximum storm total
amounts of 15 inches possible. These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in
mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky