000
WTPZ32 KNHC 152338
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Tara Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222018
700 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

...TARA STRENGTHENS SOME MORE...
...BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN SWIPING THE COASTS OF MICHOACAN, COLIMA, AND
JALISCO...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 104.5W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Tara was
located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 104.5 West.  Tara is
moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h).  A motion toward
the northwest or west-northwest is expected during the next day or
so, although the tropical storm could become stationary at times.  A
slightly faster westward motion is forecast to begin after
mid-week.  On the forecast track, the center of Tara is expected to
remain near or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico
during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Tara is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through
Tuesday along the coastal sections of the Mexican states of
Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco.  These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by tonight or Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg