000
WTPZ32 KNHC 151750
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Tara Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222018
100 PM CDT Mon Oct 15 2018

...TARA MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 104.6W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Tara was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 104.6 West. Tara is
moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.  A
slightly faster westward motion is forecast to begin after mid-week.
On the forecast track, the center of Tara is expected to remain near
or just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next
couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Tara is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches through
Tuesday along the coastal sections of the Mexican states of
Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco.  These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by tonight or Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart